

Guarding the Nusantara gates: Why sea denial must anchor Indonesia's maritime defense
By: Ian Montratama - When Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrives in Jakarta first week of July 2026, one item on the agenda deserves more public attention than it has received: Indonesia's acquisition of the BrahMos supersonic cruise missile, agreed in March and now reportedly expanding to a second battery. Beyond the headline of India's growing defense diplomacy, the deal signals something more consequential — Indonesia is finally assembling the hardware to match a strategic c
1 day ago5 min read


Indonesia-India defense cooperation needs institutionalization of trust
By: Fauzia Cempaka Timur and Curie Maharani - When Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets President Prabowo Subianto in Jakarta, defense and maritime cooperation will undoubtedly top the agenda. Yet, beyond the symbolism of high-level summits, both nations urgently require a clear, long-term strategy to build a sustainable partnership, one capable of enduring successive changes in political leadership.
1 day ago4 min read


Distributed Strike, Survivability, and the Cost-Exchange Challenge
Abstract The 2026 Iran conflict, involving U.S. and Israeli strike operations, Iranian missile-and-drone responses, and a wider regional dimension, highlighted several features of contemporary warfare that are directly relevant to Indonesia: massed drones and missiles, pressure on air-defense inventories, kill-chain competition, survivable launch networks, and the economic logic of the cost-exchange ratio. For an archipelagic state with vast maritime responsibilities and fini
Jun 1714 min read


Beyond Military Strength: Why Indonesia Needs a Truly Integrated National Defence Policy?
The Indonesia’s Integrated National Defence Policy / Kebijakan Terpadu Pertahanan Negara is a strategic document assigned to the National Defence Council (DPN) to be reviewed, assessed, and drafted in its role as an adviser to the President of Indonesia in determining general defence policy.
May 274 min read


From Comprehensive Competition to Selective Rivalry: U.S.–China Relations After the 2025 NSS
These contrasting statements capture the prevailing tone of contemporary U.S.–China relations: a relationship defined not by partnership, but by managed distrust and strategic competition. The newly released National Security Strategy 2025 formalizes this shift, recalibrating Washington’s approach from comprehensive competition toward more targeted economic and technological rivalry against China. Since the Cold War, U.S. national security strategy has largely been shaped by
May 257 min read


Indonesia’s Critical Minerals Strategy and the Pursuit of Defence Autonomy
by Benedicta Nathania Palit and Maria Evangelina Setiawan Abstract Indonesia is taking a step forward towards defence autonomy through critical minerals. This article analyzes Indonesia’s critical mineral strategy as a foundation for defense technology independence amid intensifying great power competition. By prioritising downstream processing and aligning mineral governance with defense needs, Indonesia can reduce supply chain vulnerability and strengthen its strategic posi
Apr 295 min read


Beyond the Digital Netwar: Repositioning Human Security in the Papua Narrative
By: Fauzia G. Cempaka Timur, Senior Analyst ISI The recent tragedy at the Grasberg mine—where a Freeport Indonesia employee, Simson Mulia, was shot and killed while simply traveling to his work site on March 11, 2026—is a sobering reminder that the conflict in Papua is measured in lives, not just hashtags. This incident, followed by the immediate deployment of Satgas Amole and the tightening of security across Tembagapura, underscores a persistent and exhausting cycle. Violen
Apr 275 min read


Menjadikan Diskursus Geopolitik Bermakna: Dari Tontonan Menjadi Tekanan
Oleh: Fauzia G. Cempaka Timur, Senior Analyst ISI, dan Dion Maulana Prasetya, Dosen HI Univ. Muhammadiyah Malang. SEJAK eskalasi konflik di Asia Barat mengisi layar gawai jutaan orang Indonesia, diskursus geopolitik di media sosial mengalami lonjakan yang luar biasa. Tagar-tagar tentang operasi militer Israel dengan Amerika Serikat, solidaritas terhadap Iran, dan respons komunitas internasional meledak di berbagai platform. Indonesia, dengan populasi Muslim terbesar di dunia
Apr 74 min read


Implikasi Konflik Timur Tengah: Pergeseran Geopolitik Global dan Mitigasi Bagi Indonesia
Konflik Timur Tengah merupakan ancaman tidak langsung yang bersifat multidimensional. Meski Indonesia tidak terlibat secara geografis maupun militer, blokade de facto oleh Iran berpotensi mengganggu pasokan energi hingga kawasan Asia Tenggara. Dalam kondisi krisis akibat kepanikan pasar global, harga minyak bahkan dapat melonjak hingga USD 150–200 per barel. Situasi ini tidak hanya mengancam ketahanan energi nasional, tetapi juga menekan kedaulatan ekonomi.
Mar 262 min read


Strategic Transformation of Archipelagic Defense: The Multidimensional Role of the Aircraft Carrier Cruiser Giuseppe Garibaldi in the Indonesian National Defense Framework (2025-2029)
By: Dr. Ian Montratama which also has been published first in The Jakarta Post Introduction: The Archipelagic Strategic Imperative Indonesia is the world’s largest archipelagic state, controlling approximately 6.4 million km² of maritime territory, including strategic Alur Laut Kepulauan Indonesia (ALKI) and the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). The nation’s defense doctrine, Sishankamrata (Total People’s Defense and Security System), and the updated UU Nomor 3 Tahun 2025 emphas
Mar 106 min read


Pemetaan Awal Risiko Rantai Pasok Global: Studi Kasus Impor Hidrokarbon Indonesia dari Kawasan Teluk dan Iran.
Oleh: Dr. Muhammad Hadianto, Arrozaq Ave Eskalasi konflik di Timur Tengah antara Iran dan koalisi Amerika Serikat–Israel pada akhir Februari telah menimbulkan kekhawatiran terhadap stabilitas rantai pasok global. Dampaknya mulai terlihat pada pasar energi dunia. Pada 9 Maret 2026, harga minyak Brent menembus USD 110 per barel, jauh di atas asumsi harga minyak dalam APBN 2026 yang dipatok sebesar USD 70 per barel. Gambar 1. Harga Minyak per Barel. Brent Crude Oil Lonjakan
Mar 97 min read


Medan Perang AS-Israel vs Iran di Ruang Asimetris Tak Kasat Mata
Oleh: Fauzia G. Cempaka Timur dan Dion Maulana Prasetya
Mar 55 min read


Membuka Peluang dari Traktat Jakarta dan Hadapi Persepsi Ancaman
Oleh: Fauzia G. Cempaka Timur dan Dion Maulana Prasetya
Mar 34 min read


The Kashmir 2025 Crisis: Data Fusion and the Changing Nature of Air Warfare
By: Alfa Yoga Amadeus Daryana
Feb 26 min read


Navigating The New Realism: The Trumpian Paradigm and Indonesia’s Strategic Autonomy
By: Dr. Ian Montratama, S.E., M.E.B., M.Si. (Han)
As the global order enters a period of profound systemic disequilibrium, defined by a significant disjuncture between existing international governance and a rapid redistribution of power, Indonesia finds itself at a strategic crossroads. The re-emergence of an "America First" doctrine, articulated in the proposed 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS), represents what the administration views as a "necessary correction" to de
Feb 24 min read


Konflik China-Taiwan dan Masa Depan Tatanan Indo-Pasifik
Oleh Dr. Surya Wiranto, SH MH[1]
Penulis adalah purnawirawan Laksamana Muda TNI Angkatan Laut, Penasihat Indo-Pacific Strategic Intelligence (ISI), Anggota Senior Advisory Group IKAHAN Indonesia–Australia, Dosen Program Pascasarjana Keamanan Maritim Universitas Pertahanan Indonesia, Ketua Departemen Kejuangan PEPABRI, Anggota FOKO, Sekretaris Jenderal IKAL Strategic Centre (ISC) dan Direktur Eksekutif Lembaga Kajian Maritim Indonesia (IIMS).
Jan 79 min read


Menerjemahkan Kepercayaan Strategis Menjadi Realitas Kerja Sama: Analisis Kesenjangan Dan Strategi Konvergensi Minat Dalam Hubungan Indonesia-Australia
Oleh Dr. Surya Wiranto, SH MH[1]
Penulis adalah purnawirawan Laksamana Muda TNI Angkatan Laut, Penasihat Indo-Pacific Strategic Intelligence (ISI), Anggota Senior Advisory Group IKAHAN Indonesia–Australia, Dosen Program Pascasarjana Keamanan Maritim Universitas Pertahanan Indonesia, Ketua Departemen Kejuangan PEPABRI, Anggota FOKO, Sekretaris Jenderal IKAL Strategic Centre (ISC) dan Direktur Eksekutif Lembaga Kajian Maritim Indonesia (IIMS).
Dec 2, 202512 min read


Mengurai Kompleksitas Bandara Khusus di Kawasan Strategis Nasional (Studi Kasus Bandara PT IMIP, Morowali)
Oleh Dr. Surya Wiranto, SH MH[1]
Penulis adalah purnawirawan Laksamana Muda TNI Angkatan Laut, Penasihat Indo-Pacific Strategic Intelligence (ISI), Anggota Senior Advisory Group IKAHAN Indonesia–Australia, Dosen Program Pascasarjana Keamanan Maritim Universitas Pertahanan Indonesia, Ketua Departemen Kejuangan PEPABRI, Anggota FOKO, Sekretaris Jenderal IKAL Strategic Centre (ISC) dan Direktur Eksekutif Lembaga Kajian Maritim Indonesia (IIMS).
Dec 2, 20257 min read


Strategi Penguatan Postur Pertahanan Nasional
Oleh Dr. Surya Wiranto, SH MH[1]
Penulis adalah purnawirawan Laksamana Muda TNI Angkatan Laut, Penasihat Indo-Pacific Strategic Intelligence (ISI), Anggota Senior Advisory Group IKAHAN Indonesia–Australia, Dosen Program Pascasarjana Keamanan Maritim Universitas Pertahanan Indonesia, Ketua Departemen Kejuangan PEPABRI, Anggota FOKO, Sekretaris Jenderal IKAL Strategic Centre (ISC) dan Direktur Eksekutif Lembaga Kajian Maritim Indonesia (IIMS).
Dec 2, 20256 min read


Makna Baru Perjanjian Keamanan Indonesia-Australia
Oleh Dr. Surya Wiranto, SH MH[1]
Penulis adalah purnawirawan Laksamana Muda TNI Angkatan Laut, Penasihat Indo-Pacific Strategic Intelligence (ISI), Anggota Senior Advisory Group IKAHAN Indonesia–Australia, Dosen Program Pascasarjana Keamanan Maritim Universitas Pertahanan Indonesia, Ketua Departemen Kejuangan PEPABRI, Anggota FOKO, Sekretaris Jenderal IKAL Strategic Centre (ISC) dan Direktur Eksekutif Lembaga Kajian Maritim Indonesia (IIMS).
Dec 2, 20259 min read